Estudio de modelos de microsimulación para predecir patrones de actividades y viajes: Propuesta de modelo aplicado para ciudades de América Latina.
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Date
2024
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Publisher
Universidad de Concepción
Abstract
Los modelos basados en actividades son modelos de microsimulación que simulan y predicen patrones de actividades y elecciones de ruta, dando respuesta al cómo, cuándo y dónde se realizaran las actividades. La presente memoria de título analiza diferentes modelos de microsimulación de actividades y viajes con el objetivo de desarrollar una propuesta adaptada a las realidades de América Latina. El estudio se divide en dos partes principales. La primera consiste en un análisis comparativo de los principales modelos existentes, destacando sus características, ventajas y limitaciones. Para ello, se realiza una exhaustiva revisión bibliográfica de modelos utilizando bases de datos académicas y científicas. La segunda parte del estudio desarrolla la propuesta de un nuevo modelo de microsimulación, en base al flujo de información e interacciones de su estructura, representada como formulación de cajas/pseudocódigo, estableciendo la lógica del modelo denominado MBA-CLAT (Modelo Basado en Actividades para Ciudades de Latinoamérica). El modelo propuesto integra elementos de los modelos analizados, considerando aspectos específicos de la región de América Latina como las características climáticas y las dinámicas de transporte. Este nuevo modelo busca establecer una base para futuras investigaciones y desarrollos que contribuyan a mejorar la planificación y gestión del transporte en ciudades latinoamericanas, abordando así problemas críticos como la congestión vehicular y la eficiencia del transporte público.
Activity-based models are microsimulation models that simulate and predict activity patterns and route choices, addressing the how, when, and where activities will take place. This thesis analyzes different activity and travel microsimulation models with the aim of developing a proposal adapted to the realities of Latin America. The study is divided into two main parts. The first consists of a comparative analysis of the main existing models, highlighting their characteristics, advantages, and limitations. To this end, an exhaustive literature review of models using academic and scientific databases is conducted. The second part of the study develops the proposal for a new microsimulation model based on the information flow and interactions of its structure, represented as a box/pseudocode formulation, establishing the logic of the model called MBA-CLAT (Activity-Based Model for Latin American Cities). The proposed model integrates elements from the analyzed models, considering specific aspects of the Latin American region such as climatic characteristics and transportation dynamics. This new model aims to establish a foundation for future research and developments that contribute to improving transportation planning and management in Latin American cities, thus addressing critical issues such as traffic congestion and public transportation efficiency.
Activity-based models are microsimulation models that simulate and predict activity patterns and route choices, addressing the how, when, and where activities will take place. This thesis analyzes different activity and travel microsimulation models with the aim of developing a proposal adapted to the realities of Latin America. The study is divided into two main parts. The first consists of a comparative analysis of the main existing models, highlighting their characteristics, advantages, and limitations. To this end, an exhaustive literature review of models using academic and scientific databases is conducted. The second part of the study develops the proposal for a new microsimulation model based on the information flow and interactions of its structure, represented as a box/pseudocode formulation, establishing the logic of the model called MBA-CLAT (Activity-Based Model for Latin American Cities). The proposed model integrates elements from the analyzed models, considering specific aspects of the Latin American region such as climatic characteristics and transportation dynamics. This new model aims to establish a foundation for future research and developments that contribute to improving transportation planning and management in Latin American cities, thus addressing critical issues such as traffic congestion and public transportation efficiency.
Description
Tesis presentada para optar al título de Ingeniero Civil Industrial
Keywords
Viajes, Predicciones Procesamiento de datos, Simulación con Computadores